Christmas Tree Spread: Legs, Strikes, Outlook

Published January 23, 2023
Christmas Tree Spread: Legs, Strikes, Outlook

What are the characteristics of this option strategy?

Christmas tree spreads are a neutral to moderately bullish structure built from a single option type, either all calls or all puts, at three different strikes with the same expiration. The call version is executed by buying 1 ATM call option, selling 3 OTM call options and buying 2 deep OTM call options. The main goal is to profit from a sideways or range-bound market that drifts up toward the short strike. Because the two long calls above the short strikes close the ratio, the position is a defined risk trade: it is entered for a net debit, and that debit is the most that can be lost, whichever way the stock moves.

Is this a bullish, bearish or neutral strategy?

The Christmas Tree option strategy is a neutral strategy.

Is this a beginner or an advanced option strategy?

The Christmas Tree Option strategy is considered an advanced option strategy It requires a knowledge of option pricing and the option Greeks.

In what situation will I use this strategy?

The Christmas Tree option strategy is used when the investor expects the underlying to drift toward and settle near the short strike with subdued movement. It is built from a single option type, either all calls or all puts, and benefits from falling implied volatility and time decay around that strike.

Where does this strategy typically fall in the range of risk-reward and probability of profit?

The risks and rewards of the Christmas Tree strategy depend on the stock’s price movement and the time left before the options expire. The maximum reward is achieved when the stock finishes exactly at the short strike, and the maximum loss, which is limited to the net debit paid, is taken whenever the stock finishes at or below the long ATM strike or above the upper long strikes. The probability of profit is moderate, since the payoff is concentrated in a fairly narrow band around the short strike.

How is this strategy affected by the greeks?

The Greek Sensitivity of the Christmas Tree Option Strategy can vary and is affected by the movement of the underlying stock price and the time left before the expiration. Delta and Gamma are the two most important Greeks for the Christmas Tree Option Strategy as they measure the sensitivity of the option’s price to the movement of the underlying stock.

In what volatility regime (i.e VIX level) would this strategy be optimal?

This strategy is most profitable when there is a large enough difference between implied volatility and realized volatility. The strategy works best when there is more time left before the expiration date and when volatility is within the range of 30-40%.

How do I adjust this strategy when the trade goes against me? And how easy or difficult is this strategy to adjust?

If the trade goes against the investor, there are a few ways to adjust the strategy. One way is to add in a Bull Calendar Spread or a Bear Calendar Spread. The Christmas Tree Option Strategy is relatively easy to adjust compared to other strategies and can be adjusted in short amounts of time.

Where does this strategy typically fall in the range of commissions and fees?

The commissions and fees for the Christmas Tree Option strategy depend heavily on the broker. Generally speaking, most option brokers will charge a per-contract fee and a per-trades commission as well. Considering this strategy requires trader to buy sell 6 call options, commission is a bit on higher side.

Is this a good option income strategy?

No. The Christmas Tree is entered for a net debit, so there is no premium taken in at the start and nothing is earned unless the stock lands near the short strike. There are other option income strategies, such as covered call writing, that are built for that purpose.

How do I know when to exit this strategy?

When exiting a Christmas Tree Option Strategy, the investor needs to consider the overall risk/reward and the current market conditions. The position should be exited when the potential reward no longer outweighs the risk.

How will market makers respond to this trade being opened?

Market makers typically respond to the setup of a Christmas Tree Option Strategy by making sure that the underlying stock is not overpriced. Once the trade is opened, the market makers will adjust their hedging positions to match the new position.

What is an example (with calculations) of this strategy?

Consider a stock trading at a price of $260. A trader can execute christmas tree option strategy by buying 1 call at $260, selling 3 call option at $270 and buying 2 call options at $275. The investor enters this trade by paying a net premium of $360. The maximum profit of $640 is reached with the stock at exactly $270 at expiration ($1,000 of intrinsic value on the long $260 call less the $360 net premium). The trade is profitable between $263.60 and $273.20; outside $260 to $275 the loss is capped at the $360 net premium.

How can MarketXLS help?

MarketXLS is a powerful tool for traders and investors for analyzing and trading options. MarketXLS enables traders to find and analyze options trades easily, with features such as options chains, greeks, implied volatility and custom alerts. MarketXLS also allows traders to quickly place orders, adjust positions and track their open trades with the ability to monitor multiple accounts. With MarketXLS, traders can analyze their options trades quickly and with the confidence of an experienced trader.

Here are some templates that you can use to create your own models

Christmas Tree Spread With Puts Option Strategy
Christmas Tree Spread With Puts Option Strategy

Search for all Templates here: https://marketxls.com/templates/

Relevant blogs that you can read to learn more about the topic

Trading In Christmas Tree Spread With Put Option Strategy

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